2022 RSM Classic odds, field notes, best bets and picks to win

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The last PGA Tour event of the year awarding FedEx Cup points is here, as the best players in the world are in Georgia for the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club on St. Simons Island.

For the first two days, players play both the Seaside Course and the Plantation Course before using the Seaside Course for both weekend rounds.

After his four-shot win last week, Tony Finau comes in as the betting favorite at +900. This will be Finau’s second RSM appearance, but the first since the Plantation Course was added to the rotation in 2015.

Jason Day, one of the other big names in the field, is at +2000 after four quality starts in a row (T-8, T-11, T-21, T-16).

RSM Classic: PGA Tour Streaming Live on ESPN+

Golf course

Seaside Course | Par 70 | 7,005 meters

2020 RSM classic

2020 RSM classic

A view of the sixth green during the final round of the 2020 RSM Classic at the Seaside Course at Sea Island Golf Club in St Simons Island, Georgia. (Photo: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Wave information data

Natural Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfers attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who will perform well on each course – DataGolf): 1. The Concession Golf Club, 2. Innisbrook (Copperhead), 3. Albany

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Popular (players’ last three starts): 1. Tony Finau (9, MC, 1), 2. Tom Hoge (T-9, T-13, MC), 3. Maverick McNealy (T-18, T-10 , T-27)

Percentage chance of winning (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Tony Finau (10 percent), 2. Brian Harmon (4.6 percent), 3. Jason Day (3.4 percent)

Example of bets

Last Week (Houston Open)

2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open

2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open

Australia’s Jason Day prepares to putt on the ninth hole during the completion of the second round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

Not a great week in Texas. Jason Day was my highest finisher at T-16, but another week without the outright winner.

Four units less in the week, more than 26.5 units in the season.

If you’re interested in my full chart each week, it’s on my Twitter sometime Wednesday afternoon. Follow me here.

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Chances

Player

Chances

Player

Chances

Tony Finau

(+900)

Harris English

(+4000)

Brian Harmon

(+2000)

Andrew Putnam

(+4000)

Jason Day

(+2000)

Patrick Rogers

(+4000)

Seamus power

(+2000)

Mackenzie Hughes

(+4000)

Tom High

(+3000)

Joel Dahmen

(+4000)

Matthew Ne Smith

(+3000)

Sahith Theegala

(+4000)

Keith Mitchell

(+3000)

Matt Koechar

(+5000)

Dennis McCarthy

(+3000)

Webb Simpson

(+5000)

Taylor Montgomery

(+3000)

Kevin Kisner

(+5000)

Justin Rose

(+4000)

Alex Kleiney

(+5000)

Jason day

Jason Day of Australia makes a tee off on the first hole during the first round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

I’m not going to stop betting on Jason Day until he gives me a reason.

He has finished T-21 or better in four straight starts after missing the cut in his first event of the new season. Day missed the cut here last season, but finished in 12th place in 2020.

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+170)

Keith Mitchell

Keith Mitchell acknowledges the crowd after making a putt on the eighteenth hole during the third round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

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It’s a home game for Keith Mitchell.

After a couple of disappointing starts to open the season, Mitchell played consistently in Houston, finishing the week in the top 10 (T-9). In the past three seasons, Mitchell has finished in the top 15 of the RSM twice (T-12 in ’21 and T-14 in ’19).

Bets to consider: Outright (+3000), Top 20 (+190)

Joel Dahmen

2022 Sanderson Farms Championship

2022 Sanderson Farms Championship

Joel Dahmen watches his drive from the 10th tee during the first round of the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship at Jackson Country Club in Jackson, Mississippi. (Photo: Rogelio V. Solis/The Bharat Express News)

Despite his performances over the years, this feels like an event that Joel Dahmen can thrive on. It’s short, requires target golf, and the field isn’t full of stars.

Dahmen has four top-20 finishes in his last five starts, including top-10s in his last two. Last season he took a top 30 at the RSM.

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+180)

Story originally appeared on GolfWeek

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