***Election Night Livewire*** Battle of the ‘Erics’ in Missouri, Arizona Tests MAGA, Impeachment Supporters Face Fate

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Voters in Missouri, Arizona, Michigan, Washington state, Kansas and Ohio will head to the polls on Tuesday to retest the determination of former President Donald Trump’s Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, with several key races from coast to coast. coast set the tone for the future of the Republican Party.

In Missouri, former Governor Eric Greitens will face Attorney General Eric Schmitt in the GOP senatorial primaries, also featuring Representatives Billy Long (R-MO) and Vicky Hartzler (R-MO). Greitens, who portrayed himself as the real MAGA candidate, was the first candidate in the entire country to pledge to oppose Senate leader Mitch McConnell no matter what if he were elected. His aggression against the establishment has drawn fierce opposition from the likes of McConnell and other enemies of the establishment such as former George W. Bush aide Karl Rove, but Schmitt has tried to position himself in the same way — despite the support of major mega-donors who linked being with McConnell – as a Conservative with Trump alignment. The battle for Trump’s support culminated Monday with an endorsement by Trump for simply “ERIC” — with the former president not specifying one or the other — and both claimed his endorsement meant them. Whoever wins will say a lot about the future of the party and could either set the tone for the beginning of the end of McConnell as even Schmitt came out against McConnell at the end of the race after Greitens’ lead.

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In Arizona, Trump-backed gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake has shocked the GOP establishment with a brash campaign, as the establishment rushed in to pressure Karrin Taylor Robson. The race pitted Trump against his former wingman former Vice President Mike Pence, who campaigned for Robson the same day Trump held a rally with Lake. Lake appears to have broken out in the polls in the latest polls, suggesting Trump’s support and her aggressive anti-establishment style could win the day — and a loss to Robson would be a serious setback for the GOP’s established wing. A similar battle is also playing out in the Senate primaries, with Trump-backed Blake Masters taking a huge lead over his main opponents, as Republicans look to November to try to oust Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ) in this critical breed.

Michiganders, meanwhile, will select who will face Democrat Governor Gretchen Whitmer, with Tudor Dixon the favorite to close the deal in Tuesday night’s primary after she rose in the polls thanks to a late Trump endorsement in the closing days of the campaign. Dixon will have to work to unite the party after a heart-pounding primary and challenge the increasingly competitive Whitmer in November, and has a tough road ahead of her, but many of Dixon’s allies believe she can pull it off. Michigan voters will also judge the fate of Rep. Peter Meijer (R-MI), one of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in early 2021.

In Washington State, two impeachment Republicans representatives. Dan Newhouse (R-WA) and Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-WA) also face doomsday. If one of these three goes down Tuesday night, that bodes even worse for Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), whose primary Wyoming is looming on Aug. 16 in a few weeks.

Ohio voters meanwhile have elections to the state house, and some interesting developments could be taking place there. Kansas will also select a GOP candidate for governor to take on Governor Laura Kelly (D-KS) – a Democrat and the main target of Republicans this year.

Polls close at 7:30 PM ET in Ohio, 8:00 PM ET in Michigan, Missouri and Kansas, 10:00 PM ET in Arizona, and 11:00 PM ET in Washington State.

Follow here for live updates as the results roll in from across the country.

UPDATE 9:10 PM ET:

Derek Schmidt, a Trump pick, has won the GOP nomination for governor in Kansas:

UPDATE 9:08 PM ET:

In Michigan’s third congressional district with 3 percent reporting, Rep. Peter Meijer (R-MI) – one of 10 Republicans who supported Trump’s impeachment – many of Trump-backed challenger John Gibbs. With 63 percent, Gibbs is way ahead of Meijer’s 37 percent.

UPDATE 9:01 PM ET:

Wasserman of Cook Political Report says he expects Schmitt to win in Missouri:

According to the New York Times, only 4 percent reports, but Schmitt sits at 45.9 percent and Hartzler at 22.2 percent, while Greitens at 17.9 percent.

UPDATE 8:49 PM ET:

With 2 percent reporting now in Missouri, Schmitt has 44.6 percent and Hartzler 24.4 percent, while Greitens has 16.7 percent.

UPDATE 8:48 PM ET:

With 1 percent reporting in Missouri so far, Schmitt has a big lead, but much of what is reported comes from major metropolitan areas like St. Louis and Kansas City. The countryside is not there yet, so it will be interesting whether this dynamic changes or not.

UPDATE 8:41 PM ET:

Less than 3,000 votes are still reported and less than 1 percent of primary turnout is reported in Missouri, so these results are insignificant so far, but Schmitt is in the lead and Vicky Hartzler is second and Greitens is third so far.

UPDATE 8:37 PM ET:

Wasserman also mentioned the race for Stevens over Levin in Michigan:

UPDATE 8:33 PM ET:

Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report has already mentioned it for Tudor Dixon in Michigan in the GOP primaries for governor:

UPDATE 8:29 PM ET:

In Michigan, in the 11th congressional district of the Democratic primaries, Representatives Haley Stevens (D-MI) and Andy Levin (D-MI) face each other over reshuffling that forces a member-member primary. Stevens currently has the advantage there, but this one has waded back and forth and is worth checking out.

UPDATE 8:27 PM ET:

With 2 percent reporting in Kansas in the GOP primary for governor, Trump-backed Derek Schmidt leads big with 74.4 percent of the vote. He’s cruising there.

UPDATE 8:25 PM ET:

With 3 percent reporting in Michigan, Tudor Dixon has expanded its lead to nearly 10,000 votes and 46.8 percent to Rinke’s 23.1 percent.

UPDATE 8:16 PM ET:

The first votes are now in Michigan’s GOP gubernatorial primary, with 1 percent reporting, and Tudor Dixon, backed by Trump, is big. She’s at 46.1 percent and Kevin Rinke is second at 31.1 percent — a 15 percent lead ahead of Dixon — and while it’s still early, that’s a strong start for her.

UPDATE 8:10 PM ET:

State officials say turnout in Missouri is extremely low today:

How this affects the race remains to be seen, but it is interesting that despite the intense national political interest and millions of dollars spent, turnout was so low.

UPDATE 8:04 PM ET:

The first votes are coming in from Missouri – less than one percent of those cast – and Schmitt has an early lead with 276 votes to 134 for Greitens.

UPDATE 8:01 PM ET:

According to former President Donald Trump’s team, in addition to his generic “Eric” endorsement in Missouri, he has many approvals at stake tonight, including several major federal and state-wide approvals across the country. They are as follows:

Arizona-01 David Schweikert
Arizona-02 Eli Crane
Arizona-05 Andy Biggs
Arizona-08 Debbie Lesko
Arizona-09 Paul Gosar
Arizona Attorney General Abe Hamadeh
Arizona Governor Kari Lake
Arizona Secretary of State Mark Finchem
Arizona Senate Blake Masters
Arizona State Senate-07 Wendy Rogers
Arizona State Senate-09 Rob Scantlebury
Arizona State Senate-10 David Farnsworth
Arizona State Senate-27 Anthony Kern
Arizona State Senate-29 Janae Shamp
Kansas-01 Tracey Mann
Kansas-02 Jake LaTurner
Kansas 04 Ron Estes
Kansas Governor Derek Schmidt
Kansas Senate Jerry Moran
Michigan Governor Tudor Dixon
Michigan-01 Jack Bergman
Michigan-02 John Moolenaar
Michigan-03 John Gibbs
Michigan-04 Bill Huizenga
Michigan-05 Tim Walberg
Michigan-09 Lisa McClain
Michigan-10 John James
Michigan-State House-36 Steve Carra
Michigan-State House-43 Rachelle Smith
Michigan-State House-51 Matt Maddock
Michigan-State House-63 Jacky Eubanks
Michigan-State House-71 Kevin Rathbun
Michigan-State House-79 Angela Rigas
Michigan-State House-88 Mick Bricker
Michigan-State House-99 Mike Hoadley
Michigan-State Senate-17 Jonathan Lindsey
Michigan-State Senate-22 Mike Detmer
Missouri-03 Blaine Luetkemeyer
Missouri-06 Sam Graves
Missouri-08 Jason Smith
Washington-03 Joe Kent
Washington-04 Loren Culp

UPDATE 8pm ET:

Polling stations are closed in Missouri, Michigan, Kansas and Ohio. Results are expected shortly in each.

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