Fantasy Baseball: Put your trust in Trevor Rogers in home stretch


We are constantly looking for people in our lives that we can rely on.

Whether it’s building friendships or a relationship, or choosing a hairdresser or doctor, we ultimately want someone we can rely on for good or bad times.

However, trust is not given, it is earned over time. It’s not always easy to find reliable people to keep by your side, but you have to hold on to them when you do – even if it’s not forever.

Trevor Rogers of the Marlins earned the trust of fantasy managers during his 2021 All-Star campaign – when he went 7-8 with a 2.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 10.6 strikeouts per nine and a .218 opponents average. He only allowed more than three earned points in a start in 25 appearances.

That achievement gave him credibility and made him a target for fantasy owners in 2022 (it doesn’t hurt that he’s on a team with a track record of developing young pitchers).

Despite being drafted as a top-30 starting pitcher, Rogers quickly lost the confidence of fantasy managers this season. In his first 19 starts, he was 4-10 with a 5.85 ERA, .283 opponent average, .831 OPS and 83-41 strikeout-walk rate before landing on the injured list on July 26 with back spasms. pitch again until August 31 against Tampa Bay.

In his first two starts since his return, Rogers is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 13-1 strikeout-walk rate, .222 opponents average and 10.5 swinging-strike rate. He struckout eight batters and walked no batter against Philadelphia on Thursday, despite giving up three runs and four extra-base hits. It was his second consecutive quality start after completing only two six innings in his first 19 games.

Marlins pitcher Trevor Rogers will face the Nationals on September 17 in Washington.
Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Rogers will make two starts this week: Monday against the Rangers and Saturday against the Nationals. Roto Rage believes he’s worthy of being in your fantasy lineups for those outings — and beyond. Yes, it’s the playoffs, but here’s why it should be considered a reliable option:

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Rogers is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine in two interleague starts this season – one of which was his solid start against the Rays on August 31. At the start of the weekend, the Rangers hit .225 with a .652 OPS as a team in the last 14 days (.178 with a .493 OPS in the last seven). He should do well against the team that was 1-10 on Friday in the last 11 games.

Rogers takes on the Nationals on Saturday in Washington and is in line to face them again on September 23 in Miami. It’s Great Because The MLB Worst Nats Are One Of The Few Teams The Left Has Done It Against For real good this season.

Three of Rogers’ four wins have come against the basement-dwelling Nats, a team where he is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .179 opponent average against in 2022. Home or away (2-0, 1.64 ERA, 0.82 WHIP), it doesn’t matter – he beat them each time.

Pop quiz: Which team beat Rogers to take his fourth win in 2022?

If you answered the Brewers, you’d be right.

Pop quiz: Which team will Rogers face on September 29?

If your answer was Milwaukee, you’re right again.

The Brewers have a winning record and are fighting for a wildcard spot, but it’s not like they’re an offensive juggernaut. Milwaukee went into the weekend with the ninth worst average and fourth most strikeouts. Worse, they batted .215 against left-handed pitchers and had the third most strikeouts against left-handed pitchers.

Not only is Rogers 1-0 with an ERA of 1.69, 0.94 WHIP, 13.5 strikeouts per nine and a .238 opponents average against Milwaukee this season, but he is also 3-0 with an ERA of 1.10, 1.04 WHIP, 11.6 strikeouts per nine and .246 opponents average in three career starts.

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Rogers’ final start comes against the Braves and… well, Roto Rage doesn’t trust him That a lot.

Big hits

Elvis Andrus SS, White Sox

Before Friday, had at least one basehit in 15 of his previous 18 games, hitting .307 with four homeruns, 15 RBI’s, 12 runs and a .862 OPS in that period.

Spencer Strider SP, Braves

Hasn’t lost since August 7, going 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA, 45-7 strikeout-walk rate and an average of .147 opponents. In 13 starts since June 26, he is 7-2 with a 2.22 ERA, 111-19 K-BB and .171 opponents average.

Michael Harris II OF, Braves

Recorded a 14-game hit streak over the weekend, going 23-for-51 (.451) with three home runs, 10 RBIs, 12 runs, a stolen base and a 1.254 OPS in that span.

Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images

Lance Lynn SP, White Sox

Before pitching on Saturday, he was 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA, 53-6 strikeout-walk rate and an average of .194 opponents over his previous seven starts.

big gadgets

Jose Berrios SP, Blue Jays

Despite going 2-1 in his past six starts, he has allowed four earned points or more in half of those games and has a 6.19 ERA in that span.

Ryan McMahon 2B/3B, Rockies

Went into the weekend 4-for-28 (.143) with no homeruns or RBI’s, 12 strikeouts and a .343 OPS in his previous nine games. Likely reason: all those games were away from Coors Field (.226, 632 OPS on the way).

Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

Martin Perez SP, Rangers

After going 9-2 with a 2.47 ERA over his first 21 starts, he is 1-4 with a 4.11 ERA and an average of .254 opponents over his past six.

Rafael Devers 3B, Red Sox

Hit .195 with three homeruns, 18 RBI’s and .602 OPS in his first 33 games in the second half. That came after a great first half (.324, 22 HR, 55 RBI, .981 OPS).

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Check swings

  • Andrew Heaney of the Dodgers leads the majors in strikeouts per nine (13.50) in the bottom half, but has allowed 16 runs (earned 13 in 21 inning), 10 home runs and a .262 opponents average over his past four starts. Despite his solid 36-3 strikeout-walk rate in those outings, he was 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA (6.87 FIP) and an OPS of .950 opponents.
  • Seattle backstop Cal Raleigh had a blazing hot start to the month, going 6-for-16 (.375) with four home runs, nine RBI’s, six runs, 1,188 slugging percentage and a 1,632 OPS in his first five games.
  • Speaking of catchers swinging hot bats: Orioles rookie Adley Rutschman has hit .283 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs, 50 runs, 47-44 strikeout-walk rate, three stolen bases and a .910 OPS in 69 games since June 15. His 33 runs sixth in the majors in the second half, and his 17.7 percent running speed is fourth.
  • Nathaniel Lowe of the Rangers had at least one hit in 48 of his previous 62 games going into the weekend – 80-for-238 (.336) with 14 home runs, 36 RBI’s, 34 runs, one stolen base and a .974 OPS in that span.
  • Baltimore’s Dean Kremer has only allowed more than two earned runs once in his past seven appearances (six starts) – 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA, 30-7 strikeout-walk rate and a .237 opponents average. His next start will likely be Tuesday against the MLB’s worst Nationals, followed by a start against Detroit.
  • Jake McCarthy of Arizona, featured in just 30 percent of ESPN leagues, continues to have an incredible second half. He is 46-for-146 (.315) with four homeruns, 26 RBIs, 24 runs, 13 stolen bases and a .849 OPS. He already stole three bases in his first six games this month, after leading the majors with eight in August.
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Team name of the week

Boiler Corn