packers vs. Lions Predictions: NFL Picks, Odds and Bets in Week 9

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Our NFL betting writer provides the best bet picks and predictions for the week 9 game between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers, which is scheduled to air live on TBEN at 1:00 PM ET from Ford Field.

The Packers are 3-5, falling further from their typical position in the NFC North, while the Lions limp to the half of the season at 1-6 with significant defense problems.

packers vs. Lions Picks

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pickers vs. Lions picks and analysis

The Packers stumbled to the finish line of a three-game road trip in hopes of ending a losing streak that affected four games last week. The NFC continues to provide a roadmap to a possible wildcard spot, but the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) threaten to walk away with the division.

Detroit doesn’t look like a threat to that crown at all with a record of 1-6 and one of the worst defenses statistically for eight weeks. Beating Green Bay is always a good time for the Lions. The Lions defeated the Packers 37-30 in Detroit last season, ending Green Bay’s five-game winning streak in the series.

Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 touchdown passes

With pass guard, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers looked like himself through the growing pains of breaking in a reliable receiver or three. And he has found a career of glittering success against the Lions.

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The Lions also need to bolster their defense that allowed 382 yards to Tua Tagovailoa last week and in week 7 Detroit was hounded by the Dallas Cowboys ground game.

It’s all good news for Rodgers and a team that needs some sort of recovery on Sunday. Even in a season labeled as a bad year for Rodgers, he has two TD passes in six of his past seven starts.

packers vs. Lion’s prediction: Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 TD passes @ -130 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers
Getty Images

Aaron Jones over 96.5 total yards

Aaron Jones has been the focus of nearly every defense the Packers have seen this season and the Week 9 encounter with the Lions is no exception. But Jones has carried a target before in this rivalry and the results are favorable for number 33.

Jones had a total of 115 yards (67 rushing, 48 receiving) with four TDs (three rec., one rush) in his last game against the Lions. He also comes from a season-high production total: 157 total yards, including 143 rushes.

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Detroit ranks 29th in overall defense and is one of the eight worst teams in combat per Pro Football Focus. Jones goes wild.

packers vs. Lion’s prediction: Aaron Jones over 96.5 total yards @ -135 (Caesars Sportsbook)

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More than 9.5 points in total in the first quarter

The Lions allow 32.1 points per game and the Packers give 21.6 points in per game, and neither team has been good at slowing down their opponents. Detroit has allowed 49 points in the first quarter this season.

Green Bay scored 33-27 in the first quarter this season.

Each team scored a touchdown in the first quarter of both encounters (7-7) last season, and the 2020 games had 17 points (14-3, Lions) and 14 points (7-7).

packers vs. Lion’s prediction: Over 9.5 points in Q1 @ -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Packers vs. Lions

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, accurate at time of publication and subject to change.

Team Spread money line Points (49.5)
lions -3.5 (-110) -190 More than -110
packers +3.5 (-110) +158 Below -110