Ranking of Democrats Who Could Run for President in 2024


Democrats bracing for a brutal midterm election instead got a big surprise: Democratic candidates outperformed many expected.

The result will likely be one of the strongest performances for a presidential party in a by-election in history.

That’s all very good news for President Biden, who is emerging in a stronger position to run for reelection.

Here’s a list of the most likely Democrats to win the nomination — our first ranking of potential candidates since the midterm elections.

President Biden

The Democrat with the greatest chance of winning his party’s nomination is clearly Biden.

This would probably have been the case even with an average or subpar performance from his party.

He is the incumbent president and incumbent presidents are generally nominated by their parties for re-election.

But there were doubts that Biden would run again, given his age and popularity.

Biden turns 80 next year and his approval ratings have been consistently under water for most of the year.

Heading into the midterms, he was seen as a hindrance to many Democrats, and he didn’t spend much time in some battlefield states and districts.

But Biden and Democrats avoided the “red wave” many pundits and strategists predicted, giving the president one of the strongest weeks of his presidency to date.

The interim results so far have given him a much-needed boost.

“His prospects for 2024 are probably the best they’ve had during his presidency,” said a Democratic strategist. “He can make the argument that voters largely agree with him and his kind of politics, and he’s not wrong.”

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When asked this week if the interim results boosted his advocacy for reelection, Biden said his “intent” is to run again.

“But I have great respect for fate, and this is ultimately a family decision,” he said at a White House news conference on Wednesday.

Some Democrats are still not convinced he is the right man for 2024.

Exit polls showed that two-thirds of voters do not want him to run for office.

Biden has claimed that if former President Trump is the GOP nominee, he can beat him again.

“Pay attention to me,” he said on Wednesday after a reporter asked what his message is to those who don’t want him to flee again.

There are also Democrats who think Biden could be vulnerable to another potential GOP challenger: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who this week defeated Democratic nominee Charlie Crist by nearly 20 points and almost immediately captured the zeitgeist as the most popular. star of the GOP.

“They should be concerned about taking on someone like DeSantis,” a former White House aide told President Obama. “How can they not be?”

Biden said this week that he will make a decision on a reelection bid early next year.

Vice President Harris

Without fail, the vice president’s name comes up first when Biden’s name is taken out of the running.

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Although Harris had a rocky start as vice president and continues to receive low approval ratings, Democrats say she would still be the go-to if Biden decides to opt out.

Like Biden, Harris is benefiting from midterm exam results, strategists say. But at the same time, others continue to worry that she hasn’t had enough portfolio and platform as vice president.

“I think if she ran, she would be challenged by other Democrats,” said one strategist. “There are a lot of people who still think they wouldn’t beat a Trump or DeSantis.”

Still, Harris is clearly the favorite to be the Democratic flag bearer after Biden, and the interim results have only made her stronger.

Pete Buttigieg

The Transport Secretary got a lot of face time with voters as he crisscrossed the country searching for candidates during the midterms.

In fact, according to CNN, he was one of the most in-demand surrogates on the trail.

A Democratic strategist explained that while Biden and Harris have publicly suffered from low approval ratings, Buttigieg was able to “stay above the fray.”

“He had to appear before the voters and take some credit for all the infrastructure movement taking place in communities across the country,” said one strategist. “Win-win for him.”

Buttigieg is a rising Democratic star and has had a solid two years in administration.

But if Biden were to pass a second term, it could be difficult for him to usurp Harris as the government favorite.

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Gretchen Whitmer

The governor of Michigan had one of the best election nights of anyone in the midterm elections.

Not only did she win in double digits against a rival endorsed by Trump, but her state went completely blue, with Democrats now controlling all three branches of state government.

Whitmer was slightly lower on The Hill’s previous lists, but she’s coming out of the midterms stronger.

Whitmer was a finalist to be Biden’s running mate in 2020 and Democrats say her star is rising more than most in her party.

“She was a rising star in 2020, but even more so now,” said a Democratic adviser.

Gavin Newsom

The California governor seems to have something in common with DeSantis: He campaigned for “freedom” in his state during the election, and it seemed to pay off, leading him to another governor’s victory on Tuesday.

Newsom has caught the attention of Democrats this year, mainly because they are proactively taking DeSantis and other Republicans under their wing.

In September, he paid for billboards in conservative states, including Texas, Mississippi, Oklahoma and Indiana, to emphasize that abortion is still legal in his state.

“He is seen as strong and he has done well to keep his name in the press,” said the first quarterback. “Keeping your name is half the battle.”

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